Changes in Shooting Incidence in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, Between March and November 2020

In light of the past year's COVID-19 pandemic and widespread protests sparked by the killing of George Floyd, firearm violence has been an increased in 2020. Because of this, a paper co-authored by PISC Senior Scholar Sara Jacoby sought to explore the associations between COVID-19 containment policies and recent protests on firearm violence in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Using data from the Philadelphia Police Department's registry of shooting victims, the study found that the killing of George Floyd and the partial lifting of containment policies were not independently associated with any changes in shooting incidence. Instead, a potential cause for 2020's trends could be explained through the correlation between firearm violence, poverty, and structural place-based economic disinvestment.

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